
Out of their opening four qualifiers, Ireland are away for three of them and with them, Wales and Austria all making it to Euro 2016, the 64-year-old is predicting it will go down to the wire with the winner collecting fewer points than their counterparts in other groups.
O'Neill said: “There's only one team certain of qualification, so your mindset should be set to that, as is Serbia's, as is Wales', as is Austria's, every single side. If you were to go to Georgia tonight, you'd think these games are difficult. But we can win our home matches and we can grab some points away from home. Everybody will be going in with that mindset. Three of our first four games are away from home. We need to stay in the competition before we actually even get into it, and these games are tough. We are away to Serbia, home to Georgia, away to Moldova and away to Austria before Christmas. Those are tough matches, really tough games. I think this will be so tight. Teams will take points from each other. We could end up with the lowest number of points. But if you end up on top, where you want to be, then does that matter? But to speak about being top now at this minute would be ludicrous for me.”
Ireland will set out full of confidence after a creditable showing at the Euros, where they reached the last 16 before being edged out by hosts France. However, while O'Neill is well aware of the buzz which remains in the camp from the summer, history demonstrates that form is not always carried into the next campaign.
He said “Hopefully, there should be a natural progression, but it doesn't always work like that, for instance, if you look at Holland. Holland ended up in the semi-final in the World Cup and you would think everything was absolutely terrific. But they couldn't get out of their group in the Euros - they couldn't get into the top three. This was only months afterwards, and they are a nation that's contested World Cup finals.”
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