Friday, 18 March 2016

Premier League's Fourth Champions League Spot Safe For 2017/18

The Premier League now cannot lose their fourth Champions League spot for the 2017/18 season following Juventus' exit from Europe. Juventus' elimination after the 6-4 aggregate defeat by Bayern Munich on Wednesday night means Italy have one club left in Europe in the form of Lazio, while England have Manchester City plus at least one other in the Europa League.

England are currently 3.97 coefficients points ahead of Italy in the coefficients standings, and with Lazio only able to gain a maximum of 2.5 points as they face Sparta Prague in the Europa League on Thursday, England's place is secure.  For England to lose their fourth place, Italy would have had to out-perform Premier League clubs in order to sneak into a top-three spot in the rankings.

England have currently extended their lead over Italy by 0.875 points, but with the scores taken over a five-year run, under-performance next season could be detrimental for the 2018/19 season. Italy will claw back 3.893 points on England when the 2011/12 season is knocked off the run of five seasons in the summer.

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