The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, yesterday, disclosed that its
decision not to undertake a further devaluation of the naira was borne out of
the need to safeguard the Nigerian economy from the shocks and negative impact
the depreciation will have on the economy.
Reacting to an article in the Economist Magazine, the CBN in a
statement signed by its Director, Corporate Communications, Mr. Ibrahim Mu’azu,
maintained that the CBN does not panic and will not take desperate measures to
satisfy few misguided interests in the market.
According to Mu’azu, the article seems to ignore the fact that
the exchange rate is simply a price that is essentially determined by the
forces of supply and demand, adding that the CBN believes that the 48 per cent
decline in oil prices may not be transitory and made bold policy changes
including closure of the subsidized Official Foreign Exchange (Forex) Window,
which resulted in a 22 per cent depreciation in the currency, the Naira.
He said, “Because the Nigerian economy is heavily dependent on
imports and the exchange rate pass-through to inflation is high, we believe
that this adjustment is optimal at this time.
“Contrary to the article’s argument, adjustments to a sharp
decline in supply of US Dollars cannot all be borne by an indeterminate
depreciation, without considering the full impact on the Nigerian economy.
“The demand side also has to be considered, not just in response
to the pressure on the Naira but as an opportunity to change the economy’s
structure, resuscitate local manufacturing, and expand job creation for our
citizens.
“Take rice imports, for example: why should we keep allocating
scarce forex to rice importers when vast amounts of paddy rice of comparable
quality produced by poor hardworking local farmers across the rice belts of
Nigeria are wasted, and farmers are falling deeper into poverty while we export
their jobs and income to rice producing countries?
“Few decades ago, Nigeria was one of the world’s largest
producers of palm oil but today we import nearly 600,000 Metric Tonnes while
Indonesia and Malaysia combine to export over 90 percent of global demand.”
Muazu, however, noted that under the present circumstances, the
CBN will do the little it can, through the introduction of huge subsidies, to
protect the jobs and incomes of local farmers, using some of the same
principles western economies used to justify the protection of their farmers.
He maintained that Nigeria cannot attain its full potentials by
importing anything and everything, adding that for a long while now, the
quest for importation has significantly weakened the operating capacities of
industries in the country.
He further stated that like other oil-exporting countries,
Nigeria is grappling with its share of the aftermath of the oil price decline,
noting that despite the challenges, Nigeria’s economic fundamentals remain
strong.
According to him, inflation is still within the CBN’s
single-digit band, the exchange rate has stabilized around N197 per US Dollar
for the last five months, GDP expanded by four per cent in the first quarter of
2015, and 469,070 new jobs were created in the same quarter.
He said, “But now is a good opportunity to begin a reversal.
Although the article hastily derides this idea as lacking in economic
foundations, it is the same principles upon which many other countries do not
allow importation of certain products.
“More also, if the article believes the CBN should adjust to
reflect the current parallel market rate, why was this suggestion not made in
the week following the inauguration of President Buhari when the same rate fell
sharply to under N190 per Dollar?
“Furthermore, it appears condescending to suggest that the list
of items seemed “to have been drawn up by someone wandering around a house and
a building site”. On the contrary, items were only included after thorough and
exhaustive discussions at the highest policymaking body of the Bank, with the
strategic national interest of Nigeria.
“With ingenuity and productiveness, we believe that Nigerians
will seize this opportunity and use it for the greater good of the country. As
we transition into a new administration in Nigeria, we must continue to ensure
policy stability at all times.”
Source: Vanguard News
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